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Business

Wall St ends down as hot inflation data increases the chances of a sharp rise in interest rates in the Fed




  • Fed funds futures now favor 100 bp rate hikes in March
  • Twitter jumps after Hindenburg’s long position revelation
  • Delta Air Lines fell on profits in the second quarter
  • Indexes down: Dow 0.67%, S&P 0.45%, Nasdaq 0.15%

NEW YORK, July 13 (Reuters) – US equities closed modestly lower on Wednesday after investors digested hotter-than-expected US inflation data, leading to fears that the Federal Reserve could raise key interest rates by as much as 100 basis points later this month.

While all three major US stock indices jumped off lows that were reached early in the day, and sometimes entered positive territory throughout the session, they were all red by the closing clock.

The growth in consumer prices from year to year accelerated to a scorching 9.1%, the warmest reading since November 1981, driven by a monthly increase of 11.2% in petrol prices. read more

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By removing volatile food and energy prices, which have fallen since the report’s survey period, the core CPI was cooled to an annual rate of 5.9%.

“You would expect the CPI (report) that we saw to be a major risk event, but the market has shrugged,” said Ross Mayfield, investment strategy analyst at Baird in Louisville, Kentucky. “(Investors) already expected a very hawkish Fed, and I do not think this affects much except uncertainty, and it has something to do with why the markets are not selling out today.”

The report raised the odds that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates even more than the 75 basis points previously expected. Traders of futures linked to the Fed Funds target rate have now priced in the probability of a larger increase of 100 basis points at the end of the policy meeting later this month. read more

“If the Fed looks past the headline, they will see that commodity prices have already begun to soften a bit” since the CPI survey period, Mayfield said, adding that a 100 basis point rate hike based on the June CPI report could put central bank policy “behind the curve”. ยป.

As shown in the graph below, the core CPI appears to confirm that inflation continues to decline from the peak in March, but still has a long way to go before approaching the central bank’s average annual inflation target of 2%:

The question of whether the Fed’s policy tightening can curb inflation without tipping the economy into recession seems to shift to how serious the downturn is likely to be.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI) fell 208.54 points, or 0.67%, to 30,772.79, the S&P 500 (.SPX) lost 17.02 points, or 0.45%, to 3,801.78 and Nasdaq Composite fell 5 points (.1IXIC. 0.15% to 11,247.58.

Nine of the 11 major sectors in the S&P 500 lost ground, with industry (.SPLRCI) and communications services (.SPLRCL) suffering the largest percentage decline, while consumer discretion (.SPLRCD) had the largest gain.

The earnings quarter for the second quarter will be in full swing on Thursday, when JPMorgan Chase & Co and Morgan Stanley will post results, followed by Citigroup and Wells Fargo & Co on Friday.

From last Friday, analysts saw an overall annual S&P revenue growth of 5.7% for the period April to June, down from the forecast of 6.8% at the beginning of the quarter, according to Refinitiv.

Shares in Delta Air Lines (DAL.N) fell 4.5% after the airline’s second-quarter profit fell short of expectations, although CEO Ed Bastian said strong travel demand would result in “meaningful” full-year profits. read more

The broader S&P 1500 Airlines index (.SPCOMAIR) fell 1.7%.

Tesla Inc advanced 1.7%, while chipmakers (.SOX) also gained ground.

Twitter Inc (TWTR.N) jumped 7.9% after Hindenburg Research said they had taken a significantly long position in the company’s shares. read more

Falling issues surpassed progress on the NYSE by a ratio of 1.37 to 1; on the Nasdaq favored a ratio of 1.08 to 1 declines.

The S&P 500 posted a new 52-week high and 41 new lows; The Nasdaq Composite recorded 16 new highs and 231 new lows.

Volume on US stock exchanges was 10.66 billion shares, compared to the average of 12.56 billion in the last 20 trading days.

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Reporting by Stephen Culp; Additional reporting from Amruta Khandekar in Bengaluru; Edited by Richard Chang

Our standards: Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.



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