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Business

Stocks rising on trade optimism, S & P 500 sees best quarterly results in a decade




On Friday, stock rose in the midst of renewed optimism about the progress of trade negotiations between Washington and Beijing when Wall Street concluded with a fantastic quarterly performance.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average traded 143 points higher on the open as Intel and Caterpillar superior, S & P 500 advanced 0.6 percent, led by energy Nasdaq Composite also climbed 0.7 percent.

Bank shares also increased widely, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and Bank of America rose all around 1 percent, while Wells Fargo also achieved half a percent after the company announced that CEO President Tim Sloan resigned.

US officials said China had proposed a number of Treasury secretaries Steven Mnuchin also said on Friday that he had a "productive work dinner" with Chinese trading staff last night in Beijing, as both parties Restores negotiations hoping to end their long-standing trade conflict.

The world's two largest economies have imposed thousands of dollars on each other's goods over the past few years. Right, deteriorated financial markets and souring business and consumer sentiment.

Chinese stocks increased overnight. Shanghai Composite received 3.2 percent overnight to lead stock indices in the region.

Friday's gains contributed to the strong development from the quarter. The S&P 500 was up 1[ads1]2.3 percent in the period, at the pace of its largest quarterly gain since the third quarter of 2009. The broad index was also on track for its best first quarter since 1998.

Dow is up 10 , 3 percent this quarter through Thursday's proximity – the best start to a year since 2013 – while Nasdaq is in pace for its biggest quarterly gain since the first quarter of 2012.

This quarterly performance is characterized by three factors: a sharp return from Christmas Eve lows, increasing optimism in trade negotiations in the US and China and a sharp reversal in the Federal Reserve's monetary policy stance.

"The irrational moment in December was just that, a moment driven by tax sales, algorithms and people who were extremely emotional about the headlines," says Phil Blancato, CEO of Ladenburg Thalmann Asset Management. But "while December was oversold, January and February overbought. The reason why the shares were cheap for a short while, but the economy is not strong enough to drive a 12 percent return on the stock market in such an environment. Concerns about a possible economic downturn have thrown some cold water into the rally as global economic data continues to worsen, which has pushed bond yields around the world recently, with fiscal 10-year note returns reaching its lowest level since December 2017 and moving below its 3 month counterparty for the first time since 2007. This is known as a yield curve inversion and investors see it as a sign that a recession may be on the horizon.

"Looking at the whole quarter, the thing that stands out is Most, the divergence in stock markets around the world and the direction of the 10-year bond in the US and in other countries, says Tom Martin, senior portfolio manager at Global. "The data is bad. Interest rates have declined as a reflection of it, and expectations of future economic growth have also declined."

Atlanta Federal Reserve's GDPNow tool assumes economic growth of 1.5 percent for the first quarter, well below 2.2 percent printing for the fourth quarter of 2018.

Earnings growth for the first quarter is also expected to be lackluster. FactSet data shows analysts expect the results from the first quarter of the S&P 500 to fall by 3.7 per cent on an annual basis. However, data from the profit Scout show analysts expect revenue growth to recover in the later quarter.

Linda Duessel, senior equity strategist at Federated Investors, is still not concerned.

"There is no reason to believe that we will not experience a so-called soft landing in the economy, especially if the Fed is in check," says Duessel. "The bottom line is, if we can reach the end of the year and say that inflation is good and the Fed is still in check, so I can say with some confidence that there is no downturn on the horizon. This will be in August the longest economic cycle in the country's history and will continue for longer than many people believe. "

-CNBCs Sam Meredith contributed to this report.



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