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Business

Stock week ahead: Netflix’s most consistent earnings report coming




The power giant will report earnings for the second quarter on Tuesday, and it looks like it will be one of the most consistent moments in the company’s 25-year history.

Whatever happens on Tuesday can transform the future of the company as well as the entire power sector. Like Netflix, so does streaming.

“It would be hell to pay if they report a figure significantly higher than the loss of 2 million being thrown around,” Andrew Hare, senior vice president of research at Magid, told CNN Business.

The electricity market has matured and saturated, Hare noted. So investors will ask, “What’s next and where is the growth coming from?”

Netflix puts its hope in potential saviors: advertising.

The company announced on Wednesday that it will partner with Microsoft on a new, cheaper ad-supported subscription plan. Despite the fact that Reed Hastings, Netflix̵[ads1]7;s CEO, has been allergic to the idea for years, advertising is now an important part of Netflix’s plans to increase revenue going forward. The new level will reportedly come before the end of 2022, but Netflix admits that the incipient advertising business is in the “very early days”.

The company also focuses on limiting password sharing and focusing on creating compelling content to help reverse the trend.

But will any of it matter if Tuesday’s numbers are so weak that Wall Street turns its back on Netflix completely?

“When Netflix is ​​severely underestimated by the market, all games are off,” Hare said.

However, the streamer has some things that work in its favor.

First, it remains Netflix’s leader with 221.6 million subscribers worldwide. It also reports figures in a marketplace that present factors beyond Netflix’s control, such as soaring inflation. So it has the excuses it can rely on to possibly quell the battle with investors.

“Investors will give them time to fix the ship, but they need to hear more solid plans for the path to immediate growth,” Hare said. “It’s about communicating how they develop their business to ensure they continue to win in flow … No one has the guts of a business that loses millions of subscribers every quarter.”

Wall Street executives are struggling with the R-word

Major banks started the earnings season last week, placing executives in front of investors and members of the media for questioning.

The report was quite predictable: Bankers want to discuss things like net interest margin and building up credit reserves. Everyone else had one thing on their minds: Recession.

There is no denying that the economy is history, and investors believe that bank titans are co-authors. They want to know what happens next.

So here’s what we’ve seen so far about the state of the economy to come.

JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon:

Geopolitical tensions, high inflation, declining consumer confidence, uncertainty about how high interest rates must go and the unprecedented quantitative easing and their effects on global liquidity, combined with the war in Ukraine and its detrimental effect on global energy and food Prices are likely to have negative consequences for the global economy once on the road.

Morgan Stanley boss James Gorman:

We can go into some form of recession – and I, like many others, have tried to make it difficult, but we are honestly guessing at this stage, but I think it is unlikely that there will be a deep and dramatic recession. at least in the US I think Asia is a bit behind. It depends on how COVID rolls out, and it sort of reappears in some countries. And then Europe is obvious – fighting hardest right now because of the war in Ukraine, because of the pressure on gas and gas prices and so on.

First Republic Bank CEO and Founder Jim Herbert:

The Fed must play catch-up. They’re behind it, and they do it – they’ll probably do it pretty quickly. So I think you’ll probably see that the recession is probably coming of some kind, and it’s going to stabilize a lot of the profits. I do not think it threatens us in excess … I think we are in perhaps the second or third round of what it takes to gain control of inflation. That will be my personal opinion.

BNY Mellon President and CEO Robin Vince:

You have all seen these charts. The S&P 500 had its worst performance in the first half of over 50 years, the 10-year Ministry of Finance had the worst start to the year since the beginning of the index in the early 1970s. And with 150 basis points in interest rate hikes, this is the fastest tightening cycle over six months since the Volcker era in the late 1970s. Under these headings, what we see across our platforms is that investors are clearly rebalancing and reducing risk. We see asset redistribution from growth to value, higher than expected cash and relatively shallow market liquidity, which makes it more difficult for investors to shift risk.

Wells Fargo CEO Charles Scharf:

You really look at a number of scenarios that you need to think through and include in your modeling. And for a number of consecutive quarters, we have already had a significant emphasis on the downside scenario. And some of these scenarios are pretty serious, right? And then you have weights on what some might call wild recession, more severe recessions, so you can make a lot of labels for them. But there are a number of scenarios that have different severity of disadvantages.

Citigroup CEO Jane Fraser:

While sentiment has changed, little of the data I see tells me that the United States is on the verge of a recession. Consumption costs are still well above the levels before Covid, and household savings provide a cushion for future stress. And as any employer will tell you, the job market is still very tight.

I’m just back from Europe, where it’s a different story. We expect a very difficult winter to come, and that is due to disruptions in the energy supply. There is also growing concern about second-order effects on industrial production and how it will affect economic activity across the continent. And the mood is, of course, further darkened by the belief that the war in Ukraine will not end immediately.

Next

Monday: Bank of America and Goldman Sachs report second quarter results

Tuesday: June building permits; Netflix reports revenue

Wednesday: June Existing home sales; Tesla reports earnings

Thursday: Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index

Friday: S&P Global Flash US Composite PMI



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