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(Kitco News) – Gold prices are posting more good gains in early US trading Tuesday, and hit another six-year high of $ 1,442.90 in August futures. A bullish cocktail or safe-haven demand, a slumping U.S. dollar index, easy central bank monetary policy and bullish technicals are driving the yellow metal north. However, the recent strong gains have now entered into a short-term overbought condition, technically, which means that the market is due to a normal and healthy downside correction. August gold futures were up $ 1
Asian and European stock markets were mostly overnight. U.S. stock indexes are pointed towards slightly lower openings when the New York day session begins. Many markets are in a pause mode, awaiting fresh news on the geopolitical front
The U.S.-Iran tensions in the Persian Gulf region continue to be near summer by the front burner. President Trump said Monday there will be major new sanctions put in Iran and called the country the world's number-one sponsor of terrorism. Traders and investors are wondering how Iran will respond, and if Iran is involved in a military confrontation with the United States. Trump appears to be unwilling to start a fight, but he will probably not stand by idly while being provoked. This situation is likely to cause quite a while and will likely get worse before it gets better. President Trump and Chinese President Xi are scheduled to meet in Japan at the G20 meetings late this week – possibly after all markets are closed on Friday – and discuss their ongoing trade war. The outcome of that meeting is uncertain and could have huge implications for many markets, especially if an agreement is reached to the trade war. Many reckon and final deal will not be announced this week, but instead the two countries will probably say they have made some progress and will keep talking.
The key "outside markets" today see Nymex crude oil prices and trading around $ 57.50 a barrel. Meantime, the U.S. dollar index is slightly up on a corrective bounce after hitting a three-month low overnight.
U.S. economic data due for release Tuesday includes the weekly Johnson Redbook and Goldman Sachs retail sales reports, the monthly house price index, the S&P / CoreLogic house price index, the Richmond Fed business survey, the consumer confidence index and new residential sales. Several Federal Reserve are also scheduled to speak today.
Technically, the gold bulls have the strong overall near-term technical advantage. Prices are in an accelerating four-week-old uptrend on the daily bar chart. However, the market is now short-term overbought and due to a normal and healthy downside correction very soon. Bulls next to price objective is to produce a close in August futures above solid resistance at $ 1,450.00. The next near-term downside price breakout objective is pushing August futures prices below solid technical support at $ 1,400.00. First resistance is seen at today's high of $ 1,442.90 and then at $ 1,450.00. First support is seen today's low of $ 1,421.40 and then at $ 1,415.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 9.0
July silver futures bulls have the overall near-term technical advantage. Prices are in a three-week-old uptrend on the daily bar chart. Silver bulls' next upside price breakout objective is closing prices above solid technical resistance at $ 16.00 an ounce. The next downside price breakout objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at $ 14,625. First resistance is seen at last week's high of $ 15,555 and then at $ 15.73. Next support is seen at $ 15.25 and then at $ 15.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.0
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