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Business

Florida gas prices are climbing at $ 5




Gas prices continue to rise in Florida and across the country. New data from AAA shows that the average cost of a gallon of gas in our state is $ 4.76. It’s a cent up from yesterday. Most local counties in Central Florida report similar averages, only Brevard shows a slightly lower average, at $ 4.74. The national average creeps towards $ 5, at $ 4.86. It is two cents higher than yesterday and 25 cents higher than this time last week. AAA says that a combination of tightening of global supplies and high demand are the main reasons behind the pain at the pump. Experts recommend avoiding driving too fast, combining errands to limit driving time and cut down on AC usage. What is the reason for the high prices? Europe drops Russia̵[ads1]7;s oil Although soaring inflation and weak growth increase the recession spectrum, global demand for oil is unlikely to fall enough to reduce prices, as it did in 2008. “The concern this time is – because there is a supply-side problem “that even if we were to enter a recession … we would not necessarily see prices fall significantly at the pump,” Smith said. The European Union on Friday formally adopted its oil prevention go, part of a sixth package of sanctions imposed on Moscow over the invasion of Ukraine. Most EU countries now have six months to phase out imports of Russian crude oil, and eight months for all other oil products. For now, Smith said, the bloc will likely continue to buy some oil from Russia, but it has been looking for alternatives. suppliers. According to Kpler data, imports of crude oil from Angola have tripled since the start of the war, while volumes in Brazil and Iraq have increased by 50% and 40% respectively. Retrieving oil from more remote locations will keep prices high, Roslan Khasawneh, senior fuel oil analyst at Vortexa, an energy data firm, told CNN Business. “A direct impact of this is the higher shipping costs due to the longer journeys, and in turn delivered the cost of oil, “he said. can do a few things to ease prices, including offers of fuel subsidies and price caps on the pump. But the silver bullet the world really needs to bring down prices – much more supply – is difficult to obtain. Insufficient alternatives Last year, Russia accounted for 14% of the global oil supply, according to the International Energy Agency, and Western sanctions on Russia are already creating significant gap in the market. Russia closed nearly 1 million barrels per day of oil production in April, and this could reach around 3 million barrels per day during the latter half of 2022, according to the IEA. The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies, a group known as OPEC +, agreed on Thursday to pump an additional 648,000 barrels of crude oil a day into the global market in July and August – 200,000 more than planned – in an agreement that included Russia. The IEA predicts that global oil production, excluding Russia, should increase by more than 3 million barrels a day for the rest of this year, balancing the impact of sanctions. But Smith believes this can be difficult to achieve. Even before the war in Ukraine, he said, oil producers phased out investments in production as they turned to renewable energy. And OPEC has its limitations. “OPEC + is already struggling to keep up with the current agreement – even core OPEC members such as Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Kuwait exported significantly less last month than in April,” he said. Giovanni Staunovo, a strategist at investment bank UBS, said in a note on Thursday that “many OPEC + member countries have already reached their capacity limits.” “This means that effective production increases are likely to be about half of the target increase,” he said. Strong global demand For months, draconian coronavirus shutdowns in Shanghai and Beijing and other major Chinese cities have weakened demand in the world’s largest oil-importing nation. But as the Chinese government begins to lift these restrictions, pent-up demand could push up prices. China could also increase oil imports from Russia further, if the benchmark Ural crude oil is traded at a discount of $ 34 a barrel to Brent. Vortexa estimates that China imported 1.1 million barrels per day of Russian seaborne oil in May, an increase of about 37% on last year’s average. Kpler’s Smith said he did not expect demand in China to come “roaring back” because of its gradual approach to lifting restrictions. But “the biggest bearish impact on prices has been eliminated, hence another reason to expect to see prices supported around current levels going forward,” he said. Demand for fuel in the United States has also proved quite robust despite exciting prices. In the week ending Saturday, the amount of gas pumped at US gas stations fell by only 5% compared to the same week a year ago, according to OPIS, which tracks gas prices and consumption data. The modest decline occurred as the national average price rose by more than 50% from year to year, reaching $ 4.60 per gallon at the end of May. CNN Business contributed to this article

Gas prices continue to rise in Florida and across the country.

New data from AAA shows that the average cost of a gallon of gas in our state is $ 4.76. It’s a cent up from yesterday.

Most local counties in Central Florida report similar averages, only Brevard shows a slightly lower average, at $ 4.74.

The national average creeps towards $ 5, to $ 4.86.

It’s two cents higher than yesterday and 25 cents higher than this time last week.

AAA says that a combination of tighter global supplies and high demand are the main reasons behind the pain at the pump.

Experts recommend avoiding driving too fast, combining errands to limit driving time and cut down on AC usage.

What is the reason for the high prices?

Europe drops Russia’s oil

Although rising inflation and weak growth increase the recession spectrum, it is unlikely that global demand for oil will fall enough to push up prices, as it did in 2008.

“The concern this time is – because there is a supply-side problem – that even if we were to go into a recession … we would not necessarily see prices fall significantly at the pump,” Smith said.

The European Union on Friday formally adopted its oil embargo, part of a sixth package of sanctions imposed on Moscow over the invasion of Ukraine. Most EU countries now have six months to phase out imports of Russian crude oil, and eight months for all other oil products.

For now, Smith said, the bloc will likely continue to buy some oil from Russia, but it has been looking for alternative suppliers. According to Kpler data, imports of crude oil from Angola have tripled since the start of the war, while volumes in Brazil and Iraq have increased by 50% and 40% respectively.

Retrieving oil from more remote locations will keep prices high, Roslan Khasawneh, senior fuel oil analyst at Vortexa, an energy data firm, told CNN Business.

“A direct effect of this is the higher shipping costs due to the longer journeys, and in turn delivered costs for the oil,” he said.

Authorities can do a few things to ease prices, including offering fuel subsidies and limiting pump prices. But the silver bullet the world really needs to bring down prices – much more deals – is hard to come by.

Insufficient options

Last year, Russia accounted for 14% of the global oil supply, according to the International Energy Agency, and the West’s sanctions against Russia are already creating a significant gap in the market. Russia closed nearly 1 million barrels per day of oil production in April, and this could reach around 3 million barrels per day during the latter half of 2022, according to the IEA.

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies, a group known as OPEC +, agreed on Thursday to pump another 648,000 barrels of oil a day into the global market in July and August – 200,000 more than planned – in an agreement that included Russia.

The IEA predicts that global oil production, excluding Russia, should increase by more than 3 million barrels a day for the rest of this year, balancing the impact of sanctions.

But Smith thinks this can be difficult to achieve. Even before the war in Ukraine, he said, oil producers phased out investments in production as they turned to renewable energy. And OPEC has its limits.

“OPEC + is already struggling to keep up with the current agreement – even core OPEC members such as Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Kuwait exported significantly less last month than in April,” he said.

Giovanni Staunovo, a strategist at investment bank UBS, said in a Thursday note that “many OPEC + member countries have already reached their capacity limits.”

“This means that effective production increases are likely to be about half of the target increase,” he said.

Strong global demand

For months, draconian coronavirus barriers in Shanghai and Beijing and other major Chinese cities have reduced demand in the world’s largest oil-importing nation.

But as the Chinese government begins to lift these restrictions, pent-up demand could push up prices. China could also further increase oil imports from Russia, if benchmark Ural’s crude oil quality is traded at a discount of $ 34 a barrel to Brent.

Vortexa estimates that China imported 1.1 million barrels per day of Russian seaborne oil in May, an increase of around 37% from last year’s average.

Kplers Smith said he did not expect demand in China to return “roaring” due to the gradual approach of lifting restrictions.

But “the biggest bearish impact on prices has been eliminated, hence another reason to expect to see prices supported around current levels going forward,” he said.

Demand for fuel in the United States has also proved quite robust despite sensational prices. In the week ending Saturday, the amount of gas pumped at US gas stations fell by only 5% compared to the same week a year ago, according to OPIS, which tracks gas prices and consumption data.

The modest decline occurred when the national average price rose by more than 50% from year to year, reaching $ 4.60 per gallon at the end of May.

CNN Business contributed to this article



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