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Business

Dow Jones Futures: Market Rally falls, holds key levels; Tesla has “super bad” sales




Dow Jones futures open Sunday night, along with S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq futures.




X



The rise in shares stopped in a holiday-shortened week. The large indices withdrew modestly, but held key levels, although Federal Reserve decision-makers signaled that large rate hikes are likely for more meetings. But it is unclear whether the recent market action was bullish or bearish.

Investors may have slim to modest exposure, but must be ready to go back.

Apple is holding its annual Worldwide Developers Conference this week. apple (AAPL) will showcase its latest operating system changes. It’s buzz that Apple WWDC will unveil an NFL streaming package. Nevertheless, Apple shares fell solidly on Friday, closing lower for the week.

Tesla shares fell on Friday and during the week when Tesla boss Elon Musk allegedly wants to cut 10% of wage jobs in the middle of a “super bad feeling” about the economy.

Outside Tesla (TSLA) moves itself, it is a reminder that volatile, highly valued growth names can make big moves from the bottom, but also sell hard.

Northrop Grumman (NO C), Dollar tree (DLTR), Flex LNG (FLNG), Albemarle (ALB) and ZIM integrated resources (ZIM) are five shares traded close to points of purchase. All have relative strength lines at or near heights, a bullish sign. The RS line, the blue line in the accompanying charts, tracks the performance of a stock versus the S&P 500 index.

The NOC stock and Albemarle are on the IBD Leaderboard. The ZIM stock is at IBD 50. The video embedded in this article discussed the market rally stock this week and analyzed the Northrop stock, DLTR stock and ALB stock.

Dow Jones Futures today

Dow Jones futures open at 6pm ET on Sunday, along with S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures.

Keep in mind that overnight trading in Dow futures and elsewhere does not necessarily translate into actual trading in the next regular trading session.


Join IBD experts as they analyze powerful stocks in the stock market rally on IBD Live


Stock market rally

The rise in the share price retreated modestly for the week, but with some large daily movements in the large indices.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell nearly 1% in last week’s trading. The S&P 500 index rose 1.2 percent. Nasdaq composites fell 1%. Small-cap Russell 2000 fell 0.2%.

The 10-year government bond yield jumped 21 basis points to 2.96%, rising to 3% amid generally strong economic data and hawkish Fed comments. This follows three weeks with significant declines in the 10-year crop.

US crude oil futures rose 3.3% to $ 118.17 a barrel last week. Gasoline futures increased by 8.7 percent.

Among the best ETFs, Innovator IBD 50 ETF (FFTY) rose 1.2% last week, while Innovator IBD Breakout Opportunities ETF (BOUT) gave up about 1%. iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF (IGV) rose 0.7%. VanEck Vectors Semiconductor ETF (SMH) fell 1.5%.

SPDR S&P Metals & Mining ETF (XME) retreated 2.2% last week. Global X US Infrastructure Development ETF (PAVE) fell 0.2%. US Global Jets ETF (JETS) fell 4.6%. SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF (XHB) withdrew 1%. Energy Select SPDR ETF (XLE) rose 1.1% and Financial Select SPDR ETF (XLF) fell 2%. Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLV) declined 3.1%

ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK) reflects more speculative history stocks, declining almost 5% last week and ARK Genomics ETF (ARKG) 3.7%. The Tesla stock is still number 1 across Ark Invest’s ETFs.


Five best Chinese stocks to see now


Apple WWDC

At the Apple WWDC event from June 6 to 10, the Dow Jones tech titan will showcase changes in the various devices’ operating systems: iOS, iPadOS, macOS, watchOS and tvOS. Media reports speculate that Apple may reveal a deal to carry NFL football games, such as the NFL Sunday Ticket package. Apple TV + announced an agreement to offer Major League Baseball games on March 8. Increased sports content is a way to attract and retain streaming subscribers, but it will not be cheap.

Apple shares fell 2.85% for the week to 145.38, including Friday’s 3.9% to fall below the 21-day limit. The AAPL stock is far from any point of sale and is well below the 50-day and 200-day lines.

Tesla ‘Super Bad’ Sale

Tesla shares fell 7.4% to 703.55 last week, and fell 9.2% on Friday to fall back below the 21-day limit. CEO Elon Musk reportedly announced a layoff and wants to cut 10% of Tesla’s paid jobs because of what he called a “super bad feeling” about the economy. These comments were in a Thursday email to Tesla executives, Reuters reported Friday.

Musk’s email comments raised questions. Large cuts will indicate weaker demand. But current demand for Tesla seems strong, especially with production in the automotive industry still limited. The EV giant has just added two new factories and predicts 50% growth in the years to come.

Musk said he expects the number of hourly production workers to increase.

Meanwhile, the National Highway Transportation Safety Administration said Friday that it has received 758 reports of “phantom braking” – in some 2021 and 2022 Model 3 and Y vehicles. NHTSA requested information from Tesla on 4 May by 20 June.

Separately, NHTSA will release data on automated crashes this month, The Wall Street Journal reported on Friday. NHTSA is investigating a number of Tesla accidents involving autopilot.


Tesla vs. BYD: China EV Maker gathers towards heights, grabs Tesla’s crown


Shares close to buy points

The Northrop share fell 3.35% to 478.37 on Friday, and managed just one buy point of 477.36 cups with handles. NOC warehouse tested its 50-day line on Thursday and had mainly formed a handle in a large handle. Northrop shares are still only 4.8% above their 50-day line.

Dollar Tree shares fell 3.1% in the last week to 159.88, but remained above the 50-day moving average. The shares settled after a massive dive-and-revival. The DLTR share first crashed due to weak earnings and guidance from Walmart (WMT) and Goal (TGT), but then stepped back on Dollar Tree’s own revenue a week later. On a weekly chart, the Dollar Tree stock has formed a handle, giving it a buying point of 166.45 cup-with-handles. On a daily chart, the handle needs another day to form, so to that extent, the Dollar Tree has a buying point of 177.29 cups.

The FLNG share rose by 7.6% last week to 29.74, and rebounded sharply from the 50-day line, providing an early entry. The official consolidation buy point is 32.88, according to MarketSmith analysis. Ideally, the LNG game would stop for a few days, even form a handle, and let the 50-day line get a little more terrain.

The ALB stock had a wild week. After rising almost 15% last week, and bursting over an early entry around 248, the lithium giant fell as low as 232.75 on June 1, although it found support on the 21-day line. The Albemarle share ended the week down 7.4% to 250.76, above the early entry. On a weekly chart, the ALB share now has a trading buy point of 273.78. It will appear on a daily chart after Monday. But a longer break would allow the 50-day line – still below 200-days – to catch up. The Albemarle share soared by 35% in May, thanks to two major upward adjustments to the full-year earnings targets in the midst of sky-high lithium prices.

ZIM shares fell 6.4% on May 31, but picked up again to end the week down just 0.5% to 67.70. Technically, the ZIM stock now has a handle on a weekly chart, giving it a buy point of 68.63. That handle may develop after Monday’s end, but apart from the May 31 tumble, there was not much of a shakeout. The ZIM stock is also 11.9% above the 50-day line.


Clamor For Lithium batteries charge this stock


Market Rally Analysis

The rise in the share price stopped the last week, with the large indices retreating modestly, mainly due to Friday’s loss. The major indices kept their 21-day moving averages and the bulk of gains from the week before.

Was the last week constructive for the market upswing or ominous? It depends on what comes next. A withdrawal was not a big surprise after strong gains. It is allowed to form any handles. But was this a temporary break before the major indices rebound or the start of a retreat back to the lowest levels? Pushing over this week’s peaks would also be just one step. The 50-day moving average threatens the major indices, with several other important obstacles after that.

Over the past week, Fed officials have made it clear that they will not stop tightening aggressively until they see inflation fall sharply and labor markets decline significantly. But that process will be painful for the economy. The fact that the stock market sold out on Friday that Musk allegedly wanted big cuts in the Tesla job and The May job report showing strong employment shows how investors are not entirely sure what is “good news” right now.

Energy is still strong, with shale games, refiners, integrated giants, coal producers and LNG games as FLNG warehouses all thriving. Solar energy stocks are also coming up again. Shippers like ZIM stocks, lithium games like Albemarle, a few traders like Dollar Tree and various building related companies also look interesting.


Time market with IBD’s ETF market strategy


What to do now

Investors may have added or cut exposure in the past week, based on the action of the major indices and their own positions. In any case, the exposure should remain modest.

In the long run, there will be great opportunities for investors. Maybe we’re at the start of a big bull run. Or this could be a short-lived bounce within an expanded bear market. Keep most of the powder dry so that you can take advantage of it when the tide clearly turns.

Investors Business Daily is all about identifying potential executives. Use it as building blocks for your own watch lists. Be vigilant and be flexible.

Read The Big Picture every day to stay in sync with the market direction and leading stocks and sectors.

Follow Ed Carson on Twitter at @IBD_ECarson for stock market updates and more.

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