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DOT Tentatively Grants 12 Haneda Fly for US Airlines



In February, I wrote about how US airlines would get 12 extra daytime landing tracks at Tokyo's Haneda Airport. This came thanks to talks between the US and Japan, which will be available by the summer of 2020, in time for the Olympics.

In total, American, Delta, United and Hawaiian, requested 19 additional Haneda frequencies, but only 12 were available. So when there were more requests than available slots, DOT had to go through a process to decide how to allocate them.

Now, DOT has now made its preliminary decision and has awarded 12 days of track to US airlines .

As I explained earlier, DOT made these decisions based on what they believe maximizes the benefit to consumers, and based on taking into account the order in which the airlines prioritize those requests (below is a chart showing the order in which the airlines prioritized those requests.] [1

9659002]

First, US airlines today operate for the following six daily flights to Tokyo Haneda:

  • American flies from Los Angeles [19659007] Delta flies from Los Angeles and Minneapolis
  • United flies from San Francisco
  • Hawaiian flies from Honolulu and Kona

So how did American airlines make their requests?

Attend five of six Haneda slots [1 9659012] Arguably Delta is the biggest winner here. Delta requested a total of six Haneda slots and they were given the following five:

  • 1x daily Atlanta to Haneda aircraft using 777-200
  • 1x daily Detroit to Haneda aircraft with A350-900
  • 1x daily Honolulu to Haneda aircraft with 767-300
  • 1x daily Portland to Haneda aircraft with A330-200
  • 1x daily Seattle to Haneda aircraft with A330-900neo [19659016] They were not given the following tracks:

    • 1x daily Honolulu to Haneda flights with 767-300

    Given the number of airlines flying between Honolulu and Tokyo, I find it not so surprising that they were rejected for the extra Honolulu to the Haneda track.

    United received four of six Haneda slots

    United requested a total of six Haneda slots, and they were given the following four:

    • 1x daily Chicago to Haneda aircraft with 777-200 [19659007] 1x daily Los Angeles to Haneda aircraft with 787-10
    • 1x daily Newark to Haneda aircraft with 777-200 [1 9659007] 1x daily Washington Dulles to Haneda aircraft with 777-200

    They were not given the following tracks:

    • 1x daily Guam to Haneda aircraft with 777-200
    • 1x daily Houston to Haneda aircraft with 777-200

    Here is DOT's explanation of why they were not given Guam to the Haneda track: [19659028] United's Guam proposal would require the allocation of a scarce Haneda pair of pairs to provide short-haul flights in a recreational market. While the department appreciates the benefits passengers can get with access to the center of Haneda Airport, the large Guam-Tokyo market is already well served in Narita, and the institute currently finds that an award here would not constitute the best use of a limited Haneda opportunity.

    And here's their explanation why they don't give Houston to the Haneda track:

    The Institute acknowledges that United's Houston proposal will offer connections to Haneda from 32 US airports and provide consumers in the southern United States with an alternative American Haneda gateway to those suggested by US and participating. However, the Department cautiously notes that many of the cities with proposed links across United's Houston hub, including a number in the United States, would enjoy one-stop service over other gateways proposed by United with higher priorities in this process, and in some cases with less circulation than what would be experienced on connections across Houston. In view of the potential benefits of the other proposals the department seeks to select here, and considering the carrier's placement of this proposed service as part of its lowest ranked priority, the department has temporarily decided not to award United's Houston-Haneda allocation. -suggestion.

    American awarded two of four Haneda slots

    The Americans requested a total of four Haneda slots, and they were given the following two:

    • 1x daily Dallas to Haneda flights using 777 -200ERs
    • 1x daily Los Angeles to Haneda aircraft using 787-8

    They were not given the following traces:

    • 1x daily Dallas to Haneda 777-200ER flights
    • 1x daily Las Vegas to Haneda aircraft using 787-8

    DOT does not make the other daily Dallas to Haneda track sensible, as they do not find the demand to be significant enough to guarantee it. But what about Las Vegas for the Haneda track?

    The department realizes that Las Vegas is the fifth largest mainland-US-Tokyo market, but Americans suggest offering links to just five US-points over Las Vegas, four of which are tentatively selected in this non-stop US transport business process. Haneda Service.14 In view of the potential benefits of the other proposals that the Department does selectly here, and considering the carrier's location of this proposed service as its lowest ranked Priority, the Department has temporarily decided not to award a US Las Vegas award. Haneda suggestions.

    Hawaiian provided one of three Haneda slots

    Hawaiian suggested adding 3 times daily Honolulu to the Haneda aircraft operated by A330-200 for a total of 4x daily flights in the market. DOT only given them an extra frequency, though.

    It's not that surprising, as this is a crowded market.

    Bottom line

    I want to say that DOT's decisions are more or less in line with what you expect. They assess how much demand they perceive to be for these routes, and balance it with the ways in which airlines prioritize the routes they want the most.

    General:

    • Honolulu to Haneda refusal is not surprising given what a crowded market it is
    • I find Las Vegas for Haneda rejection to be an interesting one, as DOT claims there are limited connectivity options, but also see that it is a big market; I guess the American would have got it approved if they ranked it higher, but they ranked it as their last choice
    • It seems that United's Houston to the Haneda route was rejected because they prioritized last and that gave no meaningful advantage to connecting passengers who were not offered via another hub
    • Perhaps United's Guam to Haneda rejection is the most interesting, as DOT claims that it is primarily a leisure road and that Narita will do for it [19659016] Are there any decisions here that you find surprising?


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