David Kelly blames passive and momentum traders for market chaos
Much of the blame for the latest market volatility falls with two types of investors, said David Kelly, JPMorgan Asset Management's overall global strategist, on a Thursday call with customers and the media.
Economic fundamentals, from jobs to earnings, look positive, he said, and led him to take responsibility for this month's series of sharp sales in two groups: passive and "momentum" investors – those who buy and sell through algorithms and automatic trading systems.
"One of the things we must come up with is the impression that this market is determined and decided on a daily basis by millions of little Warren Buffetts who are thinking carefully about the value of stocks. Today, Kelly said. "Over time, you have moved from markets moved by individual and institutional investors who at least thought about the values of stocks, even though they were highly prone to anxiety of fear and hope, to a more and more dominant market of passive or momentum investors. "
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Overall, Kelly said the rates of growth were lowering, but showing no signs of weakness, a promising signal. Also, during the holidays, the trading volume is thin and active leaders and leaders "are out on holiday."
"These fluctuations in markets have always occurred. You always have some volatility ̵[ads1]1; that's the price you pay for being in stocks, "he said." But when [the swings] is not validated by actual weakness in earnings or interest rate increases – they are not validated by an actual issue – then they will Care to fade. "
Kelly highlighted an opportunity for investors: with the market down 15% since the beginning of the quarter, it may be time to buy.
JPMorgan Asset Management managed $ 1.7 trillion as of September 30.
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