By John Roach AccuWeather Staff Writer
June 19, 2019, 1:35:12 UTC
Kris Swartz provides Ohio Gov. Mike DeWine on the farm on June 19, 2019 in Perrysburg, Ohio. Farmers who have not been able to plant their soybeans and corn because of this spring's endless rains, told the Ottoman governor on Wednesday that it would take years to recover their losses. (AP Photo / John Seewer)
AccuWeather's new estimates for corn and soybean yield for 2019 are even lower than previous forecasts due to continued poor weather and new data in Monday's US Department of Agriculture (USDA) Crop Progress.
AccuWeather predicts a 2019 grain dividend of 13.13 billion bushel, which is lower than its June 10 estimate of 13.26. USDA estimates the maize yield in 2019 at 13.68 as of June 11, although it will offer an updated forecast on Friday 28. June for both corn and soybeans.
USDA's initial maize yield estimate at 2019 was 15.03 billion bushel after production was 14.41 (2018) and 14.61 (2017) billion bushels over the past two years.
For the 2019 soybean yield, AccuWeather forecasts a decline to 3.942 billion bushel, a decline from its June 10 estimate of 3,952. The USDA's two estimates for the season so far have both been 4,150 billion bushels since production amounted to 4,544 and 4,412 billion bushels respectively in 2018 and 2017.
Crop Progress numbers. The percentage of corn considered "good" or "excellent" in 18 major corn-producing states fell from 59% to 56% last week. The five-year average of the state of maize classified "good" or "excellent" is 77%.
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"The percentage goes down – and that's a bad direction," said AccuWeather senior meteorologist Jason Nicholls. "It's not that much fell, it's just the fact that it has fallen at all is surprising … The heavy rains in southern Illinois and parts of Missouri that have 3 to 5 inches contributed to the deterioration."
Missouri had only 28% of its maize classified "good" or "excellent," while Ohio had 39%, Michigan had 40% and Illinois was 47%.
Some good news for the cornbelt farmers: "This week will be the whirlwind and drier," Nicholls said.
Soybean plantation, which AccuWeather predicted, rose in 18 major US soybean producing states, according to Crop Progress. The report showed that 85% of soybeans were planted on June 23 after the percentage was 77% last week. The five-year average for the date is 97%.
Ohio (65%), Missouri (66%) and Michigan (69%) continue to show the worst rates, while Louisiana (99%), Minnesota (98%) and North Dakota (98%) lead the way.
"The three states still in the 60s, especially Missouri, will end up losing some soybeans because of the wet weather," Nicholls said.
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